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Home Editor's Pick Articles

The next phase of EV evolution in India

By Nagesh Basvanhalli, Founder, Peak 15 Advisors

Palak by Palak
June 29, 2026
in Articles
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Nagesh Basvanhalli
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India has largely answered one important question: can electric vehicles scale in a price-sensitive and highly competitive mobility market?

The answer is increasingly yes.

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EV adoption has moved well beyond pilot projects and niche urban markets. Electric two-wheelers, three-wheelers, fleet vehicles, and delivery networks are becoming a visible part of India’s mobility landscape. Policy support, improving infrastructure, and growing consumer acceptance have accelerated the transition.

The more important question now is what comes next. The next phase of India’s EV journey will not be defined by vehicle sales alone. It will be shaped by the strength of the ecosystem that supports them.

EV adoption continues to accelerate. Industry data shows EV sales in India surpassed 2.45 million units in FY2026, with all major vehicle segments registering double-digit growth. Much of this momentum continues to come from electric two- and three-wheelers, where lower operating costs and predictable urban use cases have supported faster adoption. The pace of adoption has accelerated considerably.

India’s EV market has reached a new stage

Not long ago, the EV ecosystem in India felt scattered and unsure of itself. Charging points were few, financing was tight, and policy support was still taking shape. Even within the auto industry, the shift was seen as slow and drawn out. That picture has changed significantly.

Charging networks now stretch across highways and cities. State governments have rolled out EV policies to support both adoption and manufacturing. Banks and other financial institutions are more open to funding EVs, while logistics and mobility players are no longer experimenting on the sidelines—they’re building EVs into daily operations.

Policy has been a big push behind this shift. The FAME scheme kickstarted demand with subsidies and early charging support. After that came Production Linked Incentive schemes, focused on advanced chemistry cells and automotive manufacturing. Together, they made one thing clear: EVs aren’t just being treated as a clean mobility shift anymore, but as a serious manufacturing play. Estimates place proposed investments from these schemes in the thousands of crores, spread across batteries, components, and the wider EV ecosystem.

The market is becoming more practical

But beyond the growth numbers, the nature of the EV conversation itself is beginning to change.  For some time, the industry was driven by launches, expansion plans, funding activity, and aggressive growth narratives. Visibility mattered. Speed mattered. The market rewarded companies that moved quickly.

Now the ecosystem is entering a more demanding phase.

Consumers are beginning to look at EVs less as technology products and more as long-term ownership decisions. Questions around servicing, financing access, spare part availability, charging reliability, and resale value are becoming increasingly important.

That shift is particularly important in India.

Mobility decisions in the country have always been shaped by practicality. Reliability and affordability influence purchasing behaviour far more deeply than novelty or experimentation. A vehicle that is difficult to service or maintain struggles to build trust regardless of how advanced the technology may appear.

This is why the next phase of India’s EV evolution will likely be defined less by disruption and more by execution.

The ecosystem challenge runs deeper

India has undoubtedly made visible progress in EV assembly and demand creation. But many of the deeper layers of the ecosystem still remain heavily import-dependent.

Lithium-ion battery cells, semiconductor components, rare earth magnets, and several advanced materials continue to flow through global supply chains concentrated largely in East Asia, particularly China.

That dependence matters because the global EV race itself is evolving. Electric mobility is no longer being treated only as an environmental transition. Countries are increasingly viewing it as an industrial and strategic priority. The real competition is gradually shifting toward batteries, critical minerals, electronics, processing capability, and supply-chain control.

Global industry signals point to the same shift

This shift is becoming increasingly visible across global automotive markets as well. Several manufacturers are expanding their focus beyond vehicle production and into broader energy and mobility ecosystems. Ford’s recent strategic realignment offers a useful example. Alongside affordable EVs, hybrids, and extended-range electric vehicles (EREVs), the company has also increased its focus on battery storage through its newly established Ford Energy business. The move reflects a broader industry reality: future competitive advantage may depend as much on control of energy, battery, and infrastructure ecosystems as it does on vehicle manufacturing itself.

China recognised this shift much earlier than most.

Its position today was not built only through vehicle manufacturing. It came from years of investment across refining, battery production, mineral processing, supply-chain integration, and infrastructure development. According to the International Energy Agency, China continues to dominate global battery manufacturing capacity as well as critical mineral processing.

India does not need to replicate that model entirely. Its strengths are different.

India has natural advantages in affordable mobility, engineering efficiency, software capability, and large-scale electrification across two-wheelers, three-wheelers, and commercial fleets. Few markets combine India’s scale with such strong demand for low-cost urban mobility solutions.

What India needs to focus on next

But scale alone will not create long-term industrial strength. The next phase of growth will require stronger domestic capability across the ecosystem itself.

Battery manufacturing remains the most critical strategic priority. India has laid out plans under the advanced chemistry cell PLI scheme, but real scale in domestic production will take time. The same holds for power electronics, semiconductor tie-ups, and advanced materials.

Battery recycling is emerging as a significant strategic opportunity. As EV numbers climb over the next decade, recycling won’t just be about sustainability. It will also cut dependence on imported raw materials.

Critical minerals are already shaping the global EV race. Countries are competing hard for lithium, cobalt, nickel, and rare earths. India has begun building partnerships with resource-rich regions, but real resilience will need tighter coordination between policy, industry, and supply-chain planning.

Infrastructure will matter just as much. It’s no longer only about adding more charging stations.

The greater priority now is ensuring reliability, interoperability, and uptime across charging infrastructure. That’s what will decide user trust as EVs move beyond big cities.

India has already demonstrated that electric mobility can scale at meaningful levels. The challenge now extends beyond adoption. Long-term competitiveness will depend on whether the country can build stronger domestic capabilities across batteries, critical materials, electronics, recycling, energy systems, and supply chains. The next chapter of India’s EV story will not be won through vehicle sales alone. It will be determined by who builds, controls, and strengthens the ecosystem that powers them.

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